2015考研英语阅读英文原刊《经济学人》：内战科技

　　The Worldwide Integrated Crisis Early Warning System project, led by Lockheed Martin, alarge American defence contractor, goes even further.

　　全球危机预警系统，是由美国最大的国防承包商Lockheed Martin所主持开发的，这个项目是做得更好。

　　According to Lieutenant-Colonel Melinda Morgan of the office of the secretary of defence, inWashington, who is the government's liaison officer for the project, it can crunch greatquantities of data from digital news media, blogs and other websites, and also intelligenceand diplomatic reports.

　　据在华盛顿国防部秘书办公室人员，同时也是本项目的政府联络官员的Melinda Morgan中校称，本项目能够详细分析来自数字新闻媒体，博客，和其他网页，以及情报部门和外交部门报告的大量信息数据，

　　It then uses all this to forecast—months in advance—riots, rebellions, coups, economiccrises, government crackdowns and international wars.

　　然后利用这一切提前数月对暴动，叛乱，政变，经济危机，政府倒台，国际战争来进行预测。

　　Colonel Morgan calls this process social radar.

　　中校Morgan称之为社会雷达。

　　Conflict forecasters are even joining the open-source bandwagon, in an attempt to improvetheir software.

　　为了改进软件，战争预警系统甚至还加入了开放信息的潮流。

　　Last August IARPA, an American-government technology-development agency for theintelligence services, started the Open Source Indicators programme.

　　去年八月，一家提供情报服务的美国政府科技发展公司IARPA启动了开放信息指示仪项目。

　　This finances developers of software that can beat the news: forecasting political crises andmass violence in a reliable way.

　　此项计划将会为那些可以击败新闻的软件开发者们提供资助，这些软件将以一种可靠的方式预测政治危机和大规模暴乱。

　　The programme's manager, Jason Matheny, is now considering the proposals that have comein so far.

　　本项目的负责人Jason Matheny目前正考虑提出迄今已有的方案，范围包括从跟踪维基百科更新到用马路监控器监控交通。

　　These range from tracking Wikipedia edits to monitoring traffic with roadside cameras. Theonly proposals Mr Matheny will not consider are those designed to forecast conflict inAmerica itself, and those that rely on monitoring particular individuals, whether in Americaor elsewhere.

　　Matheny先生唯一没有考虑的是用那些设计来预测美国本身的战争冲突的装置，也没有将那些监视特别的人的装置考虑在内，无论是否在美国境内。

　　Guerrillas in the midst

　　中部游击战

　　Rather than just foretelling the future, however, the best technology should concentrate onshaping it.

　　然而，最好的技术应当专注于创造未来，而不仅仅是预测未来。

　　W-ICEWS offers a bit of that.

　　W-ICEWS就可以提供一些这方面的服务。

　　It has a what if capability, which allows users to change the inputs and see how things mightdevelop differently given different events in the real world.

　　它有着如果的功能，允许使用者改变输入信息，来看看如果在真实的世界中出现了不同的事件的话，事情可能如何发展。

　　But Venkatramana Subrahmanian of the University of Maryland proposes something morespecific.

　　然而马里兰大学的Venkatramana Subrahmanian提出了一些更加具体的建议。

　　The Temporal-Probabilistic Rule System, a program his team has developed using $600,000of American-army money, looks at 770 social and political indicators and uses them topredict attacks by Lashkar-e-Taiba, a guerrilla group based in Pakistan-administeredKashmir.

　　他的团队花费了美国军方600,000美元开发的时间概率定律系统，关注770个社会和政治指示仪，并且利用他们预测巴基斯坦统治下总部在喀什米尔的一个游击队组织拉什卡-塔伊巴组织的攻击计划。

　　If it works, this process might be applied, using a different set of indicators, to other groups ofrebels.

　　如果可行话，这项程序将利用另一组指示仪，应用于其他反政府组织。

　　The crucial point about Dr Subrahmanian's model is that it not only predicts attacks, it alsosuggests how they might be countered.

　　Subrahmanian博士的模型最为关键的一点是他不仅仅对攻击进行预测，还将就这些侵略可能会如何被反击给出建议。

　　Dr Subrahmanian is understandably cagey about the details, but he does give one example:

　　可以理解Subrahmanian博士对细节的透露小心谨慎，不过他还是举了一例子：

　　if an attack requires complex co-ordination between group members, the software mightrecommend stoking paranoia by forging false communications between them.

　　如果一场攻击战要求组织成员复杂的合作，此软件可能建议通过在他们之间捏造虚假交流通讯来造成猜疑并煽风点火。

　　On April 2nd President Barack Obama announced a $10m bounty on Lashkar-e-Taiba'sleader, Hafiz Saeed.

　　4月2日，巴拉克奥巴马总统宣布悬赏一千万美金抓捕拉什卡-塔伊巴组织头子Hafiz Saeed。

　　It would indeed mark the coming of age of civil-strife software if that bounty, or another likeit, were one day claimed on behalf of a group of programmers half a world away.

　　如果有一天，这项悬赏，或者另一个类似的赏金，被地球的另一边的一群程序员领取，这将标志着内战软件时代的到来。

　　词语解释

　　1.rely on 信赖; 依赖;依靠

　　We rely on corporations like bp to bring us energy.

　　我们依靠像bp这样的公司来供给我们能源。

　　The firm cannot rely on reputation forever.

　　弘毅不可能永远依赖其名声。

　　2.such as 例如;譬如;诸如

　　What about future steps such as euro bonds?

　　诸如欧元联盟之类的未来计划怎样?

　　Imaginary problems such as these are usually hiding real ones.

　　像这样的臆想的问题通常隐藏真实性的。

　　3.enough to 足以

　　That's not enough to trigger renewed recession.

　　这个问题不足以导致美国经济重新陷入衰退。

　　It tells you enough to get started right away.

　　它告诉你的东西足够让你立刻开始使用。

　　4.face with 面对,面临

　　She fanned her face with a newspaper.

　　她用报纸往脸上扇风。

　　He flooded his face with anxiety.

　　他脸上充满了焦虑的神情。

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